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December 04, 2025 β€’ By fxgoldanalyses.com β€’ Market Trends and Analysis

gold next move analysis today 04/12/2025

gold price analysis today

βœ… Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis

1. Trend Structure

  • Price is currently pulling back toward a rising trendline (the blue trendline).
  • The overall structure still looks bullish as long as the price stays above the trendline.
  • Short-term candles show bearish momentum, but it’s corrective, not a strong downtrend.

2. Key Zones Marked on Your Chart

πŸ”΅ Trendline Support (Major Support)

  • The blue ascending trendline is the first major support.
  • If the price taps this level, it’s a potential buy area.

πŸŸͺ Supply Zone Above (Resistance)

  • The purple zone above is a strong supply area.
  • Price previously rejected from this zone multiple times.

3. Possible Scenarios (Based on Your Arrows)

πŸ“Œ Scenario 1: Bounce from Trendline β†’ Move Up

If gold touches the rising trendline:

  • Expect a bullish reaction.
  • It could move back toward:
    • 4205 – 4210 (supply zone)
    • If broken, next resistance is around 4230+

This scenario aligns with your upward arrows.


πŸ“Œ Scenario 2: Break Below Trendline β†’ Deeper Drop

If price breaks and closes below the trendline:

  • This invalidates the bullish structure.
  • Expect a drop toward the next support zone (purple zone beneath).
  • Targets would be:
    • 4185
    • 4172–4165

This matches your downward arrows.


4. What to Look for Before Entering a Trade

For Buy:

  • Bullish candlestick patterns at the trendline (hammer, engulfing).
  • No candle close below the trendline.

For Sell:

  • Clean break + retest of the trendline from below.
  • Strong rejection from the supply zone around 4205–4210.

5. Summary

  • The market is currently pulling back, not reversing.
  • Trendline = key level to watch.
  • Supply zone = potential sell area if price pushes up.
  • Break of trendline = confirms deeper bearish movement.
gold price analysis today
gold price analysis today
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